Black Swan Capital Wealth Management

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In The Press

Thanks to its sharp economic insight and a track record of offering innovative investment opportunities to its clients, Black Swan Capital is frequently quoted in the press.


Feb 26
2010

Fundstrategy: Government revises GDP to 0.3%

The ONS says a revision of “strong” December data meant that Britain came out of the recession better than initially thought.

James Hughes, the Black Swan Capital Wealth chief economist, says: “On the surface, this stronger than expected upward revision is positive news, but the wealth of negative factors still at play in the UK economy should cast a long shadow over any celebrations”

Hughes says that Britain’s huge structural deficit means the economy remains “highly precarious”.

He says: “This latest data does not take us to amber–from red–alert. The UK is trading on past economic glories at present and this will only continue for so long.” (article continues below)

Mark Bolsom, the head of UK trading desk at Travelex, says the fourth quarter data is now irrelevant as there has been a string of “really poor” data released in 2010.

He says: “January’s retail sales were dire, claimant count has shot up and our national debt has increased–there is more concern in the markets about what is going on now than a revised GDP figure.

“The upward revision to our GDP does not mean we are out of the woods yet. We’re still way behind other global economies in the speed of our recovery and investor sentiment remains negative, as the political and economic future of the UK remains uncertain.” 


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